On the advice of readers, I've put all the data from the previous Obama Eight posts into one chart. This, I think, better illustrates my central thesis; namely, that there is little correlation among the measures of DTS registration, Dem registration, Obama's performance, and my own "flipability" metric.
|District||Incumbent||Flipability||DTS Registration||Dem Registration||GOP Registration||2008 Presidential|
|26th||Dreier||4||20%||35%||41%||51% Obama 41% McCain|
|45th||Bono Mack||1||16%||38%||42%||52% Obama 47% McCain|
|25th||McKeon||0||18%||38%||39%||49% Obama 48% McCain|
|3rd||Lungren||-2||18%||38%||40%||49% Obama 49% McCain|
|24th||Gallegly||-3||18%||36%||42%||51% Obama 48% McCain|
|50th||Bilbray||-5||24%||31%||40%||51% Obama 47% McCain|
|44th||Calvert||-6||18%||35%||42%||51% Obama 47% McCain|
|48th||Campbell||-16||22%||29%||45%||49% Obama 49% McCain|
Commenter fnpople also hooked us up with a list of declared candidates, which I hope to do a little research on later this week.
CA03- Elk Grove Mayor Gary DavisThere is, of course, a gaping hole there in the 25th, which is odd. Of the Obama Eight, it has the closest Dem/GOP registration numbers. LA County Dems, where ya at?
CA24- green businessman Shawn Stern
CA45- Palm Springs Mayor Steve Pougnet
CA48- Irvine City Councilwoman Beth Krom
CA50- 2006 Dem nominee Francine Busby
...oh yeah, CA32.