2008 was a pretty good year for the Dems, wasn't it? They won the White House and also secured a commanding majority in both houses of Congress - expanding daily!
During and immediately following the campaigns, my discussions with Dems followed one of two broad formats:
a) "♥Yay! Democrats foeva!!!♥"You may place my pessimistic tuchas squarely in group B, because of this:
b) "Shit. We're screwed in 2010."
District | Incumbent | Dem Registration | GOP Registration | 2008 Presidential Results |
---|---|---|---|---|
3rd | Dan Lungren | 38% | 40% | 49% Obama 49% McCain |
24th | Elton Gallegly | 36% | 42% | 51% Obama 48% McCain |
25th | Buck McKeon | 38% | 39% | 49% Obama 48% McCain |
26th | David Dreier | 35% | 41% | 51% Obama 41% McCain |
44th | Ken Calvert | 35% | 42% | 50% Obama 49% McCain |
45th | Mary Bono Mack | 38% | 42% | 52% Obama 47% McCain |
48th | John Campbell | 29% | 45% | 49% Obama 49% McCain |
50th | Brian Bilbray | 31% | 40% | 51% Obama 47% McCain |
These are the Obama Eight, the California Republicans whose districts were all won by the Democratic presidential candidate. Oh, and every one of these Republicans was re-elected.
2008 was, in my opinion, a huge missed opportunity for the Dems. In 2010 they will have an uphill battle trying to unseat the Obama Eight Republicans.
Fortunately though, not everyone in California is salivating over Ellen Tauscher's seat.
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